Terminal Miles AV demand monitor

Player-agnostic demand intelligence

Measure who owns the ride.

Terminal Miles combines public operating data, service-area changes and customer-experience evidence into market-share ranges—with every estimate separated from every observed fact.

Research snapshot
FOUNDING PREVIEW

Commercial use of the observed Yipit benchmarks is cleared. Exact observations are attributed below; Terminal Miles estimates remain locked until the backtest passes.

market in calibration
public anchor markets
comparison regimes
ODD events mapped
method status
THE QUESTION

Deployment tells us where AVs operate. Demand share tells us whether riders actually change platforms—and whether that change survives a shifting ODD.

New public evidence

Eleven operating-zone anchors

Yipit’s latest public table broadens the benchmark beyond San Francisco. The cards show the latest exact displayed shares; the full observed history, exports and maintained monitoring panel are being built for subscribers.

Source: YipitData table shared by Uber CFO Balaji Krishnamurthy ↗. Date columns are inferred as Jan.–June 2026 by reconciling the San Francisco row to the separately published series; the source image crops the headers. “Operating zone” boundaries and the completed-trip denominator remain unverified.

First calibration market

San Francisco Bay Area

The deepest public evidence set, but also the clearest warning against stitching together incompatible service areas.

Tier 1 Calibration
Experimental

Subscriber estimate

—%
Low / midpoint / high

Withheld until the calibration gate passes. A paid estimate will never be shown as a solitary point value.

Observed evidence through
Latest comparison regime
Backtest checks
Next proof needed
R01 Aug. 2023–May 2025 Pre–June expansion denominator
R02 June–Oct. 2025 Expanded Peninsula access
R03 Nov. 2025–present Peninsula, freeway and airport flags

Founding membership preview

What the paid monitor will unlock

A maintained research product—not a one-time chart or a repackaged third-party dataset.

Follow launch updates

Methodology boundary

Observed. Estimated. Incomparable.

Public regulatory trips, issuer-reported miles, driver panels and quote samples measure different things. ODD changes create visible breaks. Exact Yipit observations are commercially cleared and attributed. Terminal Miles estimates remain separately labeled and unpublished until calibration passes. Terminal Miles publishes research, not investment advice.